Articles for tag: lessons learned, spreadbetting, psychology

SniperElite

Winning more on demos?

There’s a curious situation that can arise where, you begin winning more on demo accounts than on live accounts, and it has been bugging me. The screenshot below is from my demo account and it should be obvious why this is bugging me. BTW I’m not just talking about the sums of money won – ...

SniperElite

Stalking ADOBE

Ignore most of the wavy lines on the chart below (click to get larger view). Importantly, most of the time following an earnings release on ADOBE, price has jumped. And that pattern is just about right for an earnings release (ER) play. Price doesn’t have to stay up – remember the ideas is to take ...

SniperElite

COSTAR UPDATE

Look at COSTAR in immediate chart below. See: Stalking COSTAR – again. 4H chart below Compare with COSTAR at 2015-05-20 (below).

SniperElite

IN THE SCOPE – UNITED NATURAL

It’s easy to spot a trendline on the weekly chart below of United Natural. Of course, no instrument is obliged to follow a trendline! This may not be an ideal one but I put it in the scope for the value of experience only. Analysis on the daily charts for this one shows that price ...

SniperElite

COSTCO SNIPE HAPPENING

Last night one of our small and developing team spotted COSTCO as a possible snipe. Earnings releases were on the NASDAQ (unfortunately not showing on Tradingview). Having assessed it we entered long. The trade is still running and it’s looking good. My stop-loss has been moved to zero-loss position – so I can’t lose!! Learning ...

SniperElite

TIFFANY and LANNETT in the scope

Tiffany is at an interesting position. The gurus hold mixed views on whether Tiffany will rise or fall. Of course, listening too much to gurus is not part of this business. It’s about acceptable loss and risk management. [Updated: see out come on Tiffany below, after this was posted.] Price on Tiffany has been moving ...

Profit from panic?

The chart below is most interesting and amusing. Clearly a bunch of people thought that this stock was gonna collapse so they put in orders to sell at the earnings release. They got it wrong. Read on. The one hour chart shows the madness better. But why did price decide to rise at the bottom ...

SniperElite

Stalking COSTAR – again

The chart below shows a very observable pattern to COSTAR. It is doubtless a channel. The first thing that will come to mind is that, “It’s purely by chance.. there’s no reason why this is happening”. We may not be able to see the reason, but the pattern is undeniable. Amazingly this does not only ...

SniperElite

What’s a good stop-loss?

It’s a question that’s impossible to answer as it depends on several things – and each trade is different, as many things affect a particular instrument you’re trading. [An instrument is a stock (aka equity), commodity, forex, or whatever]. The really big and most important point of a stop-loss is to limit losses and limit ...

SniperElite

Updated strategy for earnings releases

This strategy updates that of February 2015. The important change is about assessing whether an equity responds to the DAX (GER30) or Wall Street (US30). This became important from lessons learned with Mallinkrodt in Respect the Indices. The SYP principle applies as always. Another change is looking at the Williams Vix Fix – this is ...