Blog

Profit from panic?

The chart below is most interesting and amusing. Clearly a bunch of people thought that this stock was gonna collapse so they put in orders to sell at the earnings release. They got it wrong. Read on. The one hour chart shows the madness better. But why did price decide to rise at the bottom ...

SniperElite

Stalking COSTAR – again

The chart below shows a very observable pattern to COSTAR. It is doubtless a channel. The first thing that will come to mind is that, “It’s purely by chance.. there’s no reason why this is happening”. We may not be able to see the reason, but the pattern is undeniable. Amazingly this does not only ...

SniperElite

What’s a good stop-loss?

It’s a question that’s impossible to answer as it depends on several things – and each trade is different, as many things affect a particular instrument you’re trading. [An instrument is a stock (aka equity), commodity, forex, or whatever]. The really big and most important point of a stop-loss is to limit losses and limit ...

SniperElite

Updated strategy for earnings releases

This strategy updates that of February 2015. The important change is about assessing whether an equity responds to the DAX (GER30) or Wall Street (US30). This became important from lessons learned with Mallinkrodt in Respect the Indices. The SYP principle applies as always. Another change is looking at the Williams Vix Fix – this is ...

Tools – not fools!

The tools referred to here are ‘physical’ things – as against ‘psychological’. This is about some of the stuff that could be of use in learning or live trading. The quality of your tools matters much to the quality of your learning. And of course it goes without much saying that if you don’t invest ...

SniperElite

Rethinking indicators

Many an expert trader will say something like ‘I rely mostly on price action, not indicators. Most indicators are useless and confusing.’ – which automatically brings up the question, “Which indicators are useful?”. But there are deeper issues. What is ‘price action’? Investopedia says, “Quite literally, price action is everything that a security’s price does, ...

SniperElite

Respect the indices

It’s been puzzling me for some time why some seemingly good shares don’t rebound or don’t rebound well. I think I’ve solved part of the puzzle. The charts below show the influence of the German DAX (Germany 30). Of course the influence is not direct or always consistent. Wall Street also has major influence (and ...

SniperElite

The money is not yours until you take it

The scenario below is only relevant to: Where your target has not been met. When your target has been exceeded. Yes – trailing stops do help –  and you can leave a trailing stop to make the decision, which would be ‘your decision’. But the point of this is to say that positive equity hides ...

SniperElite

Stalking Microsoft

Microsoft is at an interesting point in it’s history. Price has reached some critical areas. Click thumbnail below to see more. I’ve not entered a trade on Microsoft as yet. I may do so. For noobs, yes price may fall – that’s always a possibility in this game. You’ve gotta be prepared to lose, and ...