Conversation with a failed trader
Today I met a chap who is a failed trader. This was a rare opportunity. I had known him for about 3 months just fromRead MoreLearn More
The loser’s game
The news has been out from August 2018 that the European Securities and Management Agency (ESMA) has compelled all brokers (subject to its jurisdiction) toRead MoreLearn More
Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?
In the last few months we’ve received inquiries from several about Bitcoin and various similar things, often referred to as cryptocurrencies. In essence many ofRead MoreLearn More
Microtrends and risk aversion
Many a trader will have looked at the same chart (say AUDUSD) at different times (let’s say 4 hours apart), and had doubts or anRead MoreLearn More
So did you get it right?
Did you get it right? This is an important question for new and seasoned traders to think about – but there is a problem withRead MoreLearn More
New traders conned
This morning I receive yet another email from somebody selling a system for beating the markets, subject to terms and conditions. It’s some software thatRead MoreLearn More
This is worth your next million
Lots of new traders are looking for a magic solution to make money. They come into trading as a sort of flirtation – to seeRead MoreLearn More
Sterling causes excitement
Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017.Read MoreLearn More
Mission Impossible – early notice.
What if there was a way to take money out of the markets (legally of course) without having to figure anything?! That must be theRead MoreLearn More
Nerves of steel – like Formula 1 racing.
Many new traders are unaware that they actually need nerves of steel. Some will argue that ‘nerves’ are not part of the equation – ifRead MoreLearn More
The more I look around the net on trading courses, the more I come to think that there is a big scam going on. SomeRead MoreLearn More
Tools – not fools!
The tools referred to here are ‘physical’ things – as against ‘psychological’. This is about some of the stuff that could be of use inRead MoreLearn More
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F E A T U R E D
A brief exploration of how patience can affect trading
What is patience? According the Cambridge English Dictionary, it means: “the ability to wait, or to continue doing something despite difficulties, or to suffer without complaining or becoming annoyed.” Patience is of course a psychological characteristic. It certainly isn’t something physical. The opposite of patience is of course impatience. Why is patience important? As a new trader you may have started off trading on lower time frames such as 5 min or 15 min, limitedRead More
This post continues from ‘Is volatility your friend?‘ The emphasis here is on copying with volatility. ‘Coping’ is a psychological thing. New traders will have emotions and it is no good denying this or avoiding it. The screencast below brings out what tends to happen with new traders when price moves in the ‘opposite’ direction (full screen view is best). There is no magic formula or advice on how to cope with volatility. This is whereRead More
Every trader knows that volatility is the thing that is necessary in order for the price to have movement. But there are different kinds of price movements. Some instruments move in fairly neat directions up, then retrace and move up again. We all love these. There are some others that are ‘all over the place’. The chart below shows a volatile situation on 15 min time frame. Degrees of volatility seen, depend a lot onRead More
It’s often thrown around that ‘The trend is your friend’. I had heard or read these words several times in the last three years. I understood the words and the idea behind it. It is not a difficult thing to understand that the prices of instruments in markets move in trends. This is easy to see by watching a moving average (MA) or exponential moving average (EMA). But it is easy to spot a trendRead More
Over the last few months there has been much reflective practice. This is about looking back at what one has done in the past, learning and re-learning from mistakes, and understanding how novices to financial trading approach it. A mistake is usually, in simple language, recognising a genuine error that has happened. Learning from a mistake means doing something differently to avoid it happening again or reducing likelihood of recurrence. Understanding how the uninitiated thinkRead More
Your first or next million?
Lots of new traders are looking for a magic solution to make money. They come into trading as a sort of flirtation – to see ‘if it works for them’. It doesn’t. There are no hard statistics on this but Charlie Burton estimates that about 80% of people who begin trading a live account will leave within 6 months. That’s about our estimate as well. There is no single method or trick to making moneyRead More
Gambling is a bad word and a bad thing for most people. Strangely enough at September 2014, it was estimated that “70 per cent of UK adults, more than 32 million people, play the lottery on a regular basis.” This means that 70% of the UK population are gamblers. The percentage of people taking chances on the Lottery have varied from 32% to 70% in 20 years. Concepts So what is gambling? Some say investing in stocks is gambling. OthersRead More
In several posts the issue of luck and chance were touched on. There is a need to explore this further, as many who know little about financial trading believe it’s largely about luck and chance. Introduction It is important that words like luck and chance are defined here. Luck as a concept is outlined in the infographic below. A chance is a probability that is known or foreseeable. We separate luck and chance, though in many circlesRead More
It’s been a busy week for some traders. The following is a perfect kill with two shots to the ‘head’. The sceptical will argue that this is luck. But the topic of luck and chance will be explored further in another post coming soon. What is not shown in the 4H chart is the daily situation with Oil. See below, where snipers were watching carefully a powerful zone of horizontal resistance on the daily charts. UsingRead More
Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017. This caused the fainthearted to dump GBP for about 15 – 30 minutes. Snipers knew this was just a short high breeze. Then GBP rose like a phoenix for the next few hours. The first screenshot shows that if you were positioned to catch the activity, you could have gainedRead More