Conversation with a failed trader
Today I met a chap who is a failed trader. This was a rare opportunity. I had known him for about 3 months just fromRead MoreLearn More
The loser’s game
The news has been out from August 2018 that the European Securities and Management Agency (ESMA) has compelled all brokers (subject to its jurisdiction) toRead MoreLearn More
Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?
In the last few months we’ve received inquiries from several about Bitcoin and various similar things, often referred to as cryptocurrencies. In essence many ofRead MoreLearn More
Microtrends and risk aversion
Many a trader will have looked at the same chart (say AUDUSD) at different times (let’s say 4 hours apart), and had doubts or anRead MoreLearn More
So did you get it right?
Did you get it right? This is an important question for new and seasoned traders to think about – but there is a problem withRead MoreLearn More
New traders conned
This morning I receive yet another email from somebody selling a system for beating the markets, subject to terms and conditions. It’s some software thatRead MoreLearn More
This is worth your next million
Lots of new traders are looking for a magic solution to make money. They come into trading as a sort of flirtation – to seeRead MoreLearn More
Sterling causes excitement
Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017.Read MoreLearn More
Mission Impossible – early notice.
What if there was a way to take money out of the markets (legally of course) without having to figure anything?! That must be theRead MoreLearn More
Nerves of steel – like Formula 1 racing.
Many new traders are unaware that they actually need nerves of steel. Some will argue that ‘nerves’ are not part of the equation – ifRead MoreLearn More
The more I look around the net on trading courses, the more I come to think that there is a big scam going on. SomeRead MoreLearn More
Tools – not fools!
The tools referred to here are ‘physical’ things – as against ‘psychological’. This is about some of the stuff that could be of use inRead MoreLearn More
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F E A T U R E D
This is about looking at candles or price and the mind noticing that price is going in a particular direction. So a trader comes to think naturally that ‘it’s going south’ or ‘it’s going north’. Taking a position on this sort of observation often turns out to be wrong. All that matters is where the visible trend is going. Why? Because price may move south in a trend heading north. The bias created by observationRead More
Whilst volatility is necessary in trading there are issues with extreme volatility that traders need to consider. The clickable chart below shows one example of extreme volatility with Copper (CUUUSD). The size of a reasonable stop-loss which is related strongly to account size, is a limiting factor. If your account is say £2000 how much of a hit can you take in one trade like this? Not much. You’d be depending on luck to jumpRead More
Many a new trader will find listen to the news about which currency is doing well or badly. For example the news might say that the US Dollar strengthened, or something like that. Most of these news reports do not say how they know what they are reporting. Traders would normally be setting their brains against currency pairs e.g. USDJPY, or GBPUSD and so on. This is a ratio of one currency to the other.Read More
On several occasions I’ve referred to ‘expectation‘ as against ‘prediction‘. I can expect a delivery of a package at my home this morning (for example) but that does not mean I know it is going to arrive for certain ‘this morning’ or that I predict that it will. ‘Expectation’ means a reasoned position/opinion based in information I might have or inferences I may make based on a range of things. How is expectation important inRead More
On occasions a trader may need to turn up the microscope and look deeply into the chaos. For what? A micro-fracture, a microtrend or a small bubble movement that is like the flap of a butterfly’s wings – from which evolves a hurricane. This is the nature of chaos. The chart below shows a small rising wedge down to the 5 min time frame. ‘We’ don’t know what will happen next. Rising wedges on anyRead More
Many a trader will have looked at the same chart (say AUDUSD) at different times (let’s say 4 hours apart), and had doubts or an urge to change their minds on what to do. This situation occurred recently with BTCUSD. On one day it appeared that there was as strong microtrend on a 2H time frame pushing against the big bearish daily trend. Then on the next day it appeared that the 2H trend mightRead More
Did you get it right? This is an important question for new and seasoned traders to think about – but there is a problem with it. So you made your best risk assessment, decided your entry point and stop-loss and you entered the trade. What happens next? Many a new trader would spend some time looking at price movement shortly after. There’s a ‘Yes!!‘ sort of feeling if early on price moves into positive equityRead More
Are you better than a million minds? The chart below shows the recent extreme volatility on Wall Street. Millions of minds are into this ‘game’ of stocks/shares. They all want one important thing: profit on their positions. We don’t know these people (obviously); how can we. Yes – their interests may be represented by brokers in the stock markets. Some of these folk are institutional investors – these are the ‘big boys’ with big financialRead More
This morning I receive yet another email from somebody selling a system for beating the markets, subject to terms and conditions. It’s some software that runs on their server, that gives off signals when to enter long or short. Cost? USD $x9x down from $xx9x – and one is offered some ‘ultra’ indicator as free. Links to the advert are tracked, so that ‘they’ can monitor who clicks what in their emails. The adverts usuallyRead More
The limitations of rules in trading
Many new traders are brainwashed by various experts out there into believing that there are certain rules in trading. For example some say, “Never margin to more than 10% of your account size.” Others go, “Ignore the RSI totally.” Traders can sometimes become confused about what they refer to as ‘rules’. Rules may be self imposed boundaries as part of a personal strategy or method. However, some traders take these to mean that their rulesRead More