Conversation with a failed trader
Today I met a chap who is a failed trader. This was a rare opportunity. I had known him for about 3 months just fromRead MoreLearn More
The loser’s game
The news has been out from August 2018 that the European Securities and Management Agency (ESMA) has compelled all brokers (subject to its jurisdiction) toRead MoreLearn More
Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?
In the last few months we’ve received inquiries from several about Bitcoin and various similar things, often referred to as cryptocurrencies. In essence many ofRead MoreLearn More
Microtrends and risk aversion
Many a trader will have looked at the same chart (say AUDUSD) at different times (let’s say 4 hours apart), and had doubts or anRead MoreLearn More
So did you get it right?
Did you get it right? This is an important question for new and seasoned traders to think about – but there is a problem withRead MoreLearn More
New traders conned
This morning I receive yet another email from somebody selling a system for beating the markets, subject to terms and conditions. It’s some software thatRead MoreLearn More
This is worth your next million
Lots of new traders are looking for a magic solution to make money. They come into trading as a sort of flirtation – to seeRead MoreLearn More
Sterling causes excitement
Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017.Read MoreLearn More
Mission Impossible – early notice.
What if there was a way to take money out of the markets (legally of course) without having to figure anything?! That must be theRead MoreLearn More
Nerves of steel – like Formula 1 racing.
Many new traders are unaware that they actually need nerves of steel. Some will argue that ‘nerves’ are not part of the equation – ifRead MoreLearn More
The more I look around the net on trading courses, the more I come to think that there is a big scam going on. SomeRead MoreLearn More
Tools – not fools!
The tools referred to here are ‘physical’ things – as against ‘psychological’. This is about some of the stuff that could be of use inRead MoreLearn More
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F E A T U R E D
Item Parameter Stocks & Shares Spreadbetting Notes 1.0 Value Has an initial money value because it is an asset No money value because it is not an asset. The idea of making money from something that has no actual value may seem strange. The money has value. But there is no sale of an asset. It’s similar but different to buying chips at a casino. 1.1 Future value Future value depends on market value HasRead More
I’ve hardly ever won at this currency pair on Forex. But that does not deter me. I’m looking at it again and have shorted it recently at the peak with a very wide stop-loss above. There are some interesting patterns in the chart which means to me that the probability is favourable. Trading currency pairs is different in most cases to trading stocks. I’ve found that the same principles apply but not to the sameRead More
The following is on Keryx (and I don’t know them or what they do). That’s not important in spreadbetting. Spotting patterns and trends that are meaningful and exploitable, is the important business. Keryx was showing signs of flattening in the few days approaching their earnings release (ER). Based on my strategy: Another Way and A strategy: Earnings Releases (now being modified), I decided to enter Keryx going long and I’m currently in profit, and haveRead More
Kroger looks very interesting. It appears to be a low volatility stock, that’s moving upward slowly and steadily. Of course, whilst past patterns predict future patterns, no one (I know) can say what will happen. Kroger could well fall 2000pts. I don’t know. But the game is about much more than prediction. It is about acceptable loss in relation to probability of making a favourable move. One important feature of this stock is that itRead More
Francis Hunt (aka the ‘the market sniper’) is in a series of excellent video interviews on YouTube. Don’t miss this. This is absolutely golden stuff for all new traders – and even experienced traders. Time spent on this could be worth millions!! The full series is here. He talks about his interests and sports etc.how he spends his time outside of trading. http://youtu.be/jM_fx-JTdpY?t=7m54s Talks about average infantry vs sniper in army http://youtu.be/ZBZUWr7puOg?t=4m36s Proportion of time spent analysingRead More
How’s about a £5000 loss in a matter of minutes – yes that’ll be painful to most people. I’m sure you’ll read on – but learn from this. Let my pain be our gain. Too often traders talk only about strings of significant wins, and losses are under-represented. I break that ‘rule’ right here. The annotated screenshot below shows how risk that one is blind to can cause pain. But I gain from the painRead More
Most noob traders get over excited about technical analysis. They spend much time working out how they work and trying them out. However, the story is the same for most experienced traders: they tend not to rely heavily on technical indicators; relying more on knowledge, skill and experience. No – that’s not intuition. That’s not guessing based on experience. It’s about gaining deeper insights into market psychology. The psychology of all punters in a shareRead More
Trailing stops lock in profits, whilst stop-losses limit losses. Using these effectively requires deeper understanding and experience than is outlined here. [The ‘sue yourself’ principle applies as usual.] A stop-loss (sometimes just called stop) – is when you set a price where your trade is exited automatically. If going long, in this scenario (you buy) – you expect price to climb, and great if it does. But you don’t know whether it will fall seconds,Read More
The list of enemies is probably the most important thing for all new traders. In other posts I’ve referred to ‘the enemies’ within. The fact of the matter is that the obstacles and failures in trading are due to the hidden enemies. These are enemies in the mind. Sometimes they’re not ‘so hidden’. Traders may be aware of them but unable to do anything about them. I don’t propose to give instructions on how toRead More
The AMT setup and analysis may present some interesting opportunities – to win or lose. I keep reminding others that the chances of losing are 60% or more. This is a game for losers who know how to limit their losses and run with their winners. Sue yourself if you trade this and lose.