• Conversation with a failed trader

    Today I met a chap who is a failed trader. This was a rare opportunity. I had known him for about 3 months just fromRead More

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    Conversation with a failed trader
  • The loser’s game

    The news has been out from August 2018 that the European Securities and Management Agency (ESMA) has compelled all brokers (subject to its jurisdiction) toRead More

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    The loser’s game
  • Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?

    In the last few months we’ve received inquiries from several about Bitcoin and various similar things, often referred to as cryptocurrencies. In essence many ofRead More

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    Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?
  • Microtrends and risk aversion

    Many a trader will have looked at the same chart (say AUDUSD) at different times (let’s say 4 hours apart), and had doubts or anRead More

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    Microtrends and risk aversion
  • So did you get it right?

    Did you get it right? This is an important question for new and seasoned traders to think about – but there is a problem withRead More

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    So did you get it right?
  • New traders conned

    This morning I receive yet another email from somebody selling a system for beating the markets, subject to terms and conditions. It’s some software thatRead More

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    New traders conned
  • This is worth your next million

    Lots of new traders are looking for a magic solution to make money. They come into trading as a sort of flirtation – to seeRead More

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    This is worth your next million
  • Sterling causes excitement

    Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017.Read More

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    Sterling causes excitement
  • Mission Impossible – early notice.

    What if there was a way to take money out of the markets (legally of course) without  having to figure anything?! That must be theRead More

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    Mission Impossible – early notice.
  • Nerves of steel – like Formula 1 racing.

    Many new traders are unaware that they actually need nerves of steel. Some will argue that ‘nerves’ are not part of the equation – ifRead More

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    Nerves of steel  – like Formula 1 racing.
  • Dreamers exploited

    The more I look around the net on trading courses, the more I come to think that there is a big scam going on. SomeRead More

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    Dreamers exploited
  • Tools – not fools!

    The tools referred to here are ‘physical’ things – as against ‘psychological’. This is about some of the stuff that could be of use inRead More

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    Tools – not fools!

A resource for new and seasoned financial traders who are serious about developing their skills.

Spreadbetting compared to holding stocks and shares

Item Parameter Stocks & Shares Spreadbetting Notes 1.0 Value Has an initial money value because it is an asset No money value because it is not an asset. The idea of making money from something that has no actual value may seem strange. The money has value. But there is no sale of an asset. It’s similar but different to buying chips at a casino. 1.1 Future value Future value depends on market value HasRead More

USDZAR – Danger!

I’ve hardly ever won at this currency pair on Forex. But that does not deter me. I’m looking at it again and have shorted it recently at the peak with a very wide stop-loss above. There are some interesting patterns in the chart which means to me that the probability is favourable. Trading currency pairs is different in most cases to trading stocks. I’ve found that the same principles apply but not to the sameRead More

Keryx post-trade analysis

The following is on Keryx (and I don’t know them or what they do). That’s not important in spreadbetting. Spotting patterns and trends that are meaningful and exploitable, is the important business. Keryx was showing signs of flattening in the few days approaching their earnings release (ER). Based on my strategy: Another Way and A strategy: Earnings Releases (now being modified), I decided to enter Keryx going long and I’m currently in profit, and haveRead More

Kroger Co Analysis

Kroger looks very interesting. It appears to be a low volatility stock, that’s moving upward slowly and steadily. Of course, whilst past patterns predict future patterns, no one (I know) can say what will happen. Kroger could well fall 2000pts. I don’t know. But the game is about much more than prediction. It is about acceptable loss in relation to probability of making a favourable move. One important feature of this stock is that itRead More

The market sniper-elite–videos

Francis Hunt (aka the ‘the market sniper’) is in a series of excellent video interviews on YouTube. Don’t miss this. This is absolutely golden stuff for all new traders – and even experienced traders. Time spent on this could be worth millions!! The full series is here. He talks about his interests and sports etc.how he spends his time outside of trading. http://youtu.be/jM_fx-JTdpY?t=7m54s Talks about average infantry vs sniper in army http://youtu.be/ZBZUWr7puOg?t=4m36s Proportion of time spent analysingRead More

No pain no gain

How’s about a £5000 loss in a matter of minutes – yes that’ll be painful to most people. I’m sure you’ll read on – but learn from this. Let my pain be our gain. Too often traders talk only about strings of significant wins, and losses are under-represented. I break that ‘rule’ right here. The annotated screenshot below shows how risk that one is blind to can cause pain. But I gain from the painRead More

How Technical Indicators can fail

Most noob traders get over excited about technical analysis. They spend much time working out how they work and trying them out. However, the story is the same for most experienced traders: they tend not to rely heavily on technical indicators; relying more on knowledge, skill and experience. No – that’s not intuition. That’s not guessing based on experience. It’s about gaining deeper insights into market psychology. The psychology of all punters in a shareRead More

Trailing stops and stop-losses

Trailing stops lock in profits, whilst stop-losses limit losses. Using these effectively requires deeper understanding and experience than is outlined here. [The ‘sue yourself’ principle applies as usual.] A stop-loss (sometimes just called stop) – is when you set a price where your trade is exited automatically. If going long, in this scenario (you buy) – you expect price to climb, and great if it does. But you don’t know whether it will fall seconds,Read More

The enemies–the fuller list

The list of enemies is probably the most important thing for all new traders. In other posts I’ve referred to ‘the enemies’ within. The fact of the matter is that the obstacles and failures in trading are due to the hidden enemies. These are enemies in the mind. Sometimes they’re not ‘so hidden’. Traders may be aware of them but unable to do anything about them. I don’t propose to give instructions on how toRead More

Stalking AMT

The AMT setup and analysis may present some interesting opportunities – to win or lose. I keep reminding others that the chances of losing are 60% or more. This is a game for losers who know how to limit their losses and run with their winners. Sue yourself if you trade this and lose.