Year: 2016

  • Looking again at Earnings Releases

    This recent bounce on DEERE & CO has got me looking again at Earnings Releases.   For those who would play ER’s a Guaranteed stop maybe advisable (cost of this need to be factored into the equation) or Reward to Risk ratios. Alternatively no guaranteed stops may be taken but risk of significant slippage would…

  • Stalking NZDCAD

    NZDCAD is showing an interesting setup at the moment. My analysis below suggests it worthy of a short anytime soon. NZDCAD ripe for a short by Captain_Walker on TradingView.com

  • Value in waiting and CSW

    In recent weeks I’ve been thinking about whether it makes sense to wait on a pull back on an uptrend to enter long. Some conflicting thoughts came to mind: Waiting means I could miss the ‘boat’. But importantly I lose nothing. Thinking about this more deeply, I think losing nothing is far more important. There…

  • Comparing instruments

    We normally trade currency pairs such as GBPEUR, NZDUSD, USDJPY and EURUSD (among others). How do you tell which one of the pair is doing what? It’s not easy to determine because the currency pairs form a ratio. In NZDUSD, you can’t really tell if the USD is weakening or strengthening because the movement of…

  • In a good and difficult week

    Only occasionally I share results of my trades. This week has been an important success in the lead up to the BREXIT referendum. The markets have been wild, to say the least. But in trading we like ‘wild’. I’ve used the ‘stealth trading system’ – and this last week was a pretty good test, playing 30min to 1H…

  • The power of time momentum

    I’ve now coined the term ‘stealth trading’ to mean trend following. All this is perfectly legal!! The chart below shows generosity to the markets. No longer are we fighting with the markets. We’re being kind in order to get our due returns. This is entirely different to a snatch-and-grab approach. See original assessment here at Tradingview.…

  • Stealth trading

    Stealth trading

    I’ve now coined the term ‘stealth trading’ to mean trend following. All this is perfectly legal!! The chart below shows generosity to the markets. No longer are we fighting with the markets. We’re being kind in order to get our due returns. This is entirely different to a snatch-and-grab approach. See original assessment here at Tradingview.…

  • Caught a big fish

    Caught a big fish

    The infographic below shows a big fish on the hook. Well, big fish are probably harder to reel in but they’ll supply more protein – innit?!! They’ll compensate for most of the losses on small fish thrown back or lost. Yes, my line may be snapped – no problem – cuz I know there are…

  • Is common sense allowed in trading?

    Is common sense allowed in trading?

    The answer to this question is ‘no’ – if you’ve been trained in some system of rules, which you’re meant to follow rigidly.  The beauty of trend-following methods, is that it allows for a degree of common sense.  Indicators are there to help paint a picture. Trend followers are not chained by indicators or rules.…

  • Expecting to lose – the sleep test

    Expecting to lose – the sleep test

    Nobody likes to lose – I can safely say. It’s been hardwired in us as part of the survival instinct, that we need to win. Financial trading is a very different ‘game’. You have to expect to lose, in order to win. This is not to say that we have to like losing. Instead we…