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Is volatility your friend?

Every trader knows that volatility is the thing that is necessary in order for the price to have movement. But there are different kinds of price movements. Some instruments move in fairly neat directions up, then retrace and move up again. We all love these. There are some others that are ‘all over the place’. The chart below shows a volatile situation on 15 min time frame. Degrees of volatility seen, depend a lot onRead More

No courses, no horses.

Over the last few months there has been much reflective practice. This is about looking back at what one has done in the past, learning and re-learning from mistakes, and understanding how novices to financial trading approach it. A mistake is usually, in simple language, recognising a genuine error that has happened. Learning from a mistake means doing something differently to avoid it happening again or reducing likelihood of recurrence. Understanding how the uninitiated thinkRead More

Sterling causes excitement

Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017. This caused the fainthearted to dump GBP for about 15 – 30 minutes. Snipers knew this was just a short high breeze. Then GBP rose like a phoenix for the next few hours. The first screenshot shows that if you were positioned to catch the activity, you could have gainedRead More

Another look at stop-losses

Stop-losses are very important to all new traders. In this post I look at it more deeply. The infographic below is about fixed targets which are relevant to most types of trading strategies. It is not very relevant to trend-following methods. 

Traps and perspectives

Perspective is everything if you’re a day trader. You may know you’re in a winning situation from what’s happening on the charts. But what lies lurking for you? How can you spot the traps? It’s simple but not easy: change your perspective. The following composite graphic shows how a failure to change perspective could have hurt. [Click on image and then zoom in for a clearer view] DISCLAIMER: The information provided herein is opinion only.Read More

Complex trends

For some time I’ve been looking at trend lines. It has been noticeable that not all trends are simple. Complex trends may have minor trends within them as in the example below. Why is this important? It’s about how or when you enter a trend. Trend lines are fascinating when you watch them over a long period of time. We can’t really explain them Their power needs to be respected.

Value in waiting and CSW

In recent weeks I’ve been thinking about whether it makes sense to wait on a pull back on an uptrend to enter long. Some conflicting thoughts came to mind: Waiting means I could miss the ‘boat’. But importantly I lose nothing. Thinking about this more deeply, I think losing nothing is far more important. There may be a sense of loss in missing the boat but actually I’ve lost nothing in missing the boat. NoRead More