Kroger looks very interesting. It appears to be a low volatility stock, that’s moving upward slowly and steadily. Of course, whilst past patterns predict future patterns, no one (I know) can say what will happen. Kroger could well fall 2000pts. I don’t know. But the game is about much more than prediction. It is about acceptable loss in relation to probability of making a favourable move. One important feature of this stock is that itRead More
How’s about a £5000 loss in a matter of minutes – yes that’ll be painful to most people. I’m sure you’ll read on – but learn from this. Let my pain be our gain. Too often traders talk only about strings of significant wins, and losses are under-represented. I break that ‘rule’ right here. The annotated screenshot below shows how risk that one is blind to can cause pain. But I gain from the painRead More
Most noob traders get over excited about technical analysis. They spend much time working out how they work and trying them out. However, the story is the same for most experienced traders: they tend not to rely heavily on technical indicators; relying more on knowledge, skill and experience. No – that’s not intuition. That’s not guessing based on experience. It’s about gaining deeper insights into market psychology. The psychology of all punters in a shareRead More
Trailing stops lock in profits, whilst stop-losses limit losses. Using these effectively requires deeper understanding and experience than is outlined here. [The ‘sue yourself’ principle applies as usual.] A stop-loss (sometimes just called stop) – is when you set a price where your trade is exited automatically. If going long, in this scenario (you buy) – you expect price to climb, and great if it does. But you don’t know whether it will fall seconds,Read More
The AMT setup and analysis may present some interesting opportunities – to win or lose. I keep reminding others that the chances of losing are 60% or more. This is a game for losers who know how to limit their losses and run with their winners. Sue yourself if you trade this and lose.
Costar presents some interesting possibilities as their earnings release approaches on 25th February 2015. (Clicking image below brings up a larger view – and not that this is a heavy-weight share which means there can be substantial losses if traded incorrectly. This is not an encouragement to trade. As we always say, sue yourself if you lose your money).
Airline stocks have been predicted to rise over the next year, and over the next quarter of 2015. This is due to a positive change in seating-density regulations more than oil price being low. See article in Seeking Alpha.
The following charts tell of a possible other way of increasing the probability of making winning trades. In essence it is about interpreting what’s happening to the price of stock as they approach quarterly earnings releases and reports. Pictures below can be clicked for a larger view (and you may need to zoom in (and out) with your browser: CTRL and + or CTRL and – on keyboard). Missing the Twitter opportunity was a painfulRead More
This could well be the Google effect – ever so often an unrecognised ‘giant’ turns up. For those who do not know Alibaba – straight out of China to the West – dwarfs Amazon and Ebay put together!! What’s so great about that? This is a tremendous investment opportunity. Oops.. the moment I’ve said that, people began clutching their wallets – and preparing their bunch of plausible excuses: i) don’t have money ii) don’t haveRead More