The chart below is of BITCOIN (BTCUSD). Some people would have lost a pile of money on just a 10p bet even though they had stop-losses in place. No – this didn’t happen to me. What this means is that there are hidden dangers in playing very volatile instruments. You have to know the name of the game. If you’re playing with fire, ensure you can escape.
The Guppy system uses a concept called the Count Back Line (CBL), in order to find a reasonable stop-loss when deciding to enter a trade. A word of caution: the CBL only assists in certain ways below. Selecting a trade under the Guppy system involves SIX tests of which CBL is just one part. Those tests will be outlined In another post. Simply this is about counting back three candles from the apparent break inRead More
The gap strategy is about profiting from panic in the markets. It takes some careful study. It can work on any instrument representing major indices (eg GER30, US30) At the outset I should say that this is one strategy that should be practised carefully on demo accounts repeatedly to see what happens. For sure you will lose many times – and keep in mind that losing is about 60% of this business – that’s theRead More
This is not about your anatomy! Finding the bottom of an instrument (in the market) is not as easy as most might expect. The bottom is not a clearly defined point either. It’s often a band or range of price – as price varies around the so-called bottom. There may be no one bottom. A bottom today is not the same as one two months from now. So, in effect one is looking for aRead More
Last night one of our small and developing team spotted COSTCO as a possible snipe. Earnings releases were on the NASDAQ (unfortunately not showing on Tradingview). Having assessed it we entered long. The trade is still running and it’s looking good. My stop-loss has been moved to zero-loss position – so I can’t lose!! Learning point: The Earnings Release strategy has a fair chance of success if applied well. Of course, I have to sayRead More
It’s a question that’s impossible to answer as it depends on several things – and each trade is different, as many things affect a particular instrument you’re trading. [An instrument is a stock (aka equity), commodity, forex, or whatever]. The really big and most important point of a stop-loss is to limit losses and limit risk. Being stopped-out and price fluctuaton: One of the biggest mistakes new traders make – and I still get thisRead More
This is a snipe on the National Grid that is now in profit. In this particular stock (spread-betted on), I aim to show the ‘personality’ of the stock. Well of course a stock can’t have a personality as such. By personality I obviously mean the collective mindsets of those involved in the market on this stock. As in real life, the personalities of people often predict how they might react. We often hear people sayingRead More
Chevron is at an interesting point in it’s history. Price has hit a reasonably strong band of support going back to 2013. (see update at end). Basic fundamentals on the stock look possibly favourable. I’m watching this one carefully. (Note that the ‘sue yourself principle’ applies if you trade this and lose.) Update: Profits on Chevron analysis speak for themselves. ‘Twas a good snipe for £514 profits.
I’ve hardly ever won at this currency pair on Forex. But that does not deter me. I’m looking at it again and have shorted it recently at the peak with a very wide stop-loss above. There are some interesting patterns in the chart which means to me that the probability is favourable. Trading currency pairs is different in most cases to trading stocks. I’ve found that the same principles apply but not to the sameRead More
The following is on Keryx (and I don’t know them or what they do). That’s not important in spreadbetting. Spotting patterns and trends that are meaningful and exploitable, is the important business. Keryx was showing signs of flattening in the few days approaching their earnings release (ER). Based on my strategy: Another Way and A strategy: Earnings Releases (now being modified), I decided to enter Keryx going long and I’m currently in profit, and haveRead More