Tag: patterns

 

Stalking COSTAR – again

The chart below shows a very observable pattern to COSTAR. It is doubtless a channel. The first thing that will come to mind is that, “It’s purely by chance.. there’s no reason why this is happening”. We may not be able to see the reason, but the pattern is undeniable. Amazingly this does not only happen with COSTAR or any one group of equities. From experience it happens in loads of equities, forex and otherRead More

Updated strategy for earnings releases

This strategy updates that of February 2015. The important change is about assessing whether an equity responds to the DAX (GER30) or Wall Street (US30). This became important from lessons learned with Mallinkrodt in Respect the Indices. The SYP principle applies as always. Another change is looking at the Williams Vix Fix – this is an indictor available to Tradingview chart users. It gives a fairly good alert about when price is about to moveRead More

Rethinking indicators

Many an expert trader will say something like ‘I rely mostly on price action, not indicators. Most indicators are useless and confusing.’ – which automatically brings up the question, “Which indicators are useful?”. But there are deeper issues. What is ‘price action’? Investopedia says, “Quite literally, price action is everything that a security’s price does, and just like every other facet of analysis, it is purely subjective.” Expert traders may well disagree by saying thatRead More

Respect the indices

It’s been puzzling me for some time why some seemingly good shares don’t rebound or don’t rebound well. I think I’ve solved part of the puzzle. The charts below show the influence of the German DAX (Germany 30). Of course the influence is not direct or always consistent. Wall Street also has major influence (and not just on any one of the major top shares). In reality the aggregate effect of all shares is whatRead More

Somebody to teach me

Can anybody teach you how to have a first major sexual experience? Chrysst! Do you go to mum or dad and say ‘teach me’? Does reading a book or video on it actually teach you much? I’m afraid this graphic example is only to suggest that you can read all about it – but doing it is another matter entirely. Beside knowledge about the ‘mechanics’ of it, you still gotta learn from experience how toRead More

The Monsanto Snipe!

Results of the snipe are visible by clicking the thumbnail below. The assessment of this stock as a good snipe opportunity undertaken about a week earlier. I do not go into the whole process here. There were particular features of the personality of the Monsanto stock price chart, that led me to think it was a good hit. Not all the features are on the chart. The large chart is as it was on 23/03/2015.Read More

Support and Resistance

Support and resistance are absolutely important concepts for all traders. Supporting what – and resisting what  – are the questions that most new traders ask in their own minds. The easiest way to imagine ‘support’ is by reference to physical analogies. Forget about charts and trading for a moment. Have you ever needed a loan from friend or family? If not just imagine it. A loan is a form of support. You don’t want yourRead More

National Grid (snipe)–personality in stocks?

This is a snipe on the National Grid that is now in profit. In this particular stock (spread-betted on), I aim to show the ‘personality’ of the stock. Well of course a stock can’t have a personality as such. By personality I obviously mean the collective mindsets of those involved in the market on this stock. As in real life, the personalities of people often predict how they might react. We often hear people sayingRead More

USDZAR – Danger!

I’ve hardly ever won at this currency pair on Forex. But that does not deter me. I’m looking at it again and have shorted it recently at the peak with a very wide stop-loss above. There are some interesting patterns in the chart which means to me that the probability is favourable. Trading currency pairs is different in most cases to trading stocks. I’ve found that the same principles apply but not to the sameRead More