Tag: patterns

 

Managers of chaos

The following thoughts came to me in the middle of the night. The natural human tendency when we see a pattern is to predict/expect what may happen next. This is a powerful ‘unconscious’ urge. Markets are chaos. We may see patterns in the chaos.  All chaotic systems form patterns. The patterns are meaningless to the chaotic system. Patterns have meaning for us, in that they represent probabilities. But the chaos does not obey patterns. It’sRead More

DAX v EURO correlation

Correlation is about how certain things are related. Some instruments are inversely correlated i.e. if price goes up on one, then price tends to go down on another. Positive correlation  means they move in the same direction. It is almost never the case that there is perfect correlation between two instruments. Interestingly the DAX (GER30) which is the German stock market index, has a broad inverse correlation with the EURUSD currency pair, especially on higherRead More

Support and resistance again!!

Today I came across another classic example of support and resistance. I often review things that I had already learned so as to etch in my brain the importance of the concepts. The chart below explains more.

The two most important things in trading

It takes some time for the two most important things in trading to hit home. It’s easy to understand the words, but the meaning and importance come later. Limiting loss with sensible stop-losses is of the utmost priority. With a 60 – 80% loss rate which is not unusual, that’s where any profits made on winning trades evaporate. So, it must be of the highest priority. Targets – sensible ones – are the next mostRead More

Watching GBPAUD

A very big part of trading is stalking the markets. Good traders are always tracking the charts days and weeks in advance to see how patterns are developing, waiting for the right moment to strike their ‘prey’. Yes – for sure good opportunities don’t come along very often. But that’s part of the ‘job’. A good trader is spending much time in the background preparing; keeping his powder dry as they say. GBPAUD has someRead More

A big thumbs up for FormationSeeker!!

FormationSeeker is a revolutionary resource for all traders. Scott Carney, the renown  brain behind discovery and development of some harmonic patterns has been a driving force at FormationSeeker. FormationSeeker runs web-based software that picks out harmonic patterns consistently, matching much of  the knowledge, skill and experience of Scott. I first logged in for free on FormationSeeker and it simply blew my mind!! Having studied much of Harmonic Trading Vol 1 and 2, the patterns drawnRead More

Synthesis

What do I mean by ‘synthesis’? It’s about putting things together. Jeeeez – is that such a big word? So the pic below represents the result of synthesis. Synthesis of what? The method of binary options and harmonic trading principles. Huh? With Binary Options you only need price to stay away from your entry point to make some dosh. If going long price must stay above your entry – if going short price must stay less thanRead More

Harmonic trade – practical aspects

The trade in the annotated chart below shows how a Cypher pattern was spotted and trade taken to successful completion. Full credit is given to Alexander Nikitin from Tradingview. Big thanks is given to Alexander for his fine and generous work. This trade was live earlier in the day. I had questioned whether the D point met the Cypher criteria. Alexander explained the situation very clearly – and the relevance of the D point isRead More

Harmonic Pattern Sifting

Harmonic patterns are often referred to as ‘advance patterns’. This article does not go into the historical basis or evidence for the foundations of their use. There have been numerous statistical analyses of how these patterns can predict price action. No evidence is supplied for the latter. It is for traders to direct themselves to find these things. In this post the Harmonic Pattern Sifter is presented (without warranty). This tool is an algorithm thatRead More

Revisiting the Williams Vix Fix

In May 2015 I had briefly visited the Williams Vix Fix (WVF) when I was ‘Rethinking indicators’. On and off since then I had explored various setups on the WVF. Like most things in trading the importance of some aspect doesn’t quite hit you until later on. In the last few weeks I had been backtesting the WVF and came up with some conclusions that it is a workable strategy for delivering overall profits. InRead More