Tag: opportunity

 

Interest in Chevron

Chevron is at an interesting point in it’s history. Price has hit a reasonably strong band of support going back to 2013. (see update at end). Basic fundamentals on the stock look possibly favourable. I’m watching this one carefully. (Note that the ‘sue yourself principle’ applies if you trade this and lose.) Update: Profits on Chevron analysis speak for themselves. ‘Twas a good snipe for £514 profits.  

Basics of the Forex Markets

The Forex (foreign exchange) markets are the biggest and most liquid in the world. Every day about 4 Trillion US dollars (USD) are turned over on that market. Compare that with 50 Billion/d on the New York Stock Exchange and the GDP of the UK/yr being 2.9 Trillion USD. A UK Trillion is 1000 Billions. For some other figures (which may vary) see here. Average daily volume of trading on Forex has been increasing byRead More

Possible snipe on ALTRIA GROUP

The Altria set up is looking very interesting indeed. I’ve entered long on this. [Note that the ‘sue yourself principle’ applies if you lose betting this]. 17/03/2015: Update. Based on my analysis of Kroger, I calculate that Atria is similar. Yes – I could be wrong. This is not about being right. Profitability is about being right only about 40% of the time and making the aggregate of 40% of those wins bigger than aggregateRead More

USDZAR – Danger!

I’ve hardly ever won at this currency pair on Forex. But that does not deter me. I’m looking at it again and have shorted it recently at the peak with a very wide stop-loss above. There are some interesting patterns in the chart which means to me that the probability is favourable. Trading currency pairs is different in most cases to trading stocks. I’ve found that the same principles apply but not to the sameRead More

Kroger Co Analysis

Kroger looks very interesting. It appears to be a low volatility stock, that’s moving upward slowly and steadily. Of course, whilst past patterns predict future patterns, no one (I know) can say what will happen. Kroger could well fall 2000pts. I don’t know. But the game is about much more than prediction. It is about acceptable loss in relation to probability of making a favourable move. One important feature of this stock is that itRead More

How Technical Indicators can fail

Most noob traders get over excited about technical analysis. They spend much time working out how they work and trying them out. However, the story is the same for most experienced traders: they tend not to rely heavily on technical indicators; relying more on knowledge, skill and experience. No – that’s not intuition. That’s not guessing based on experience. It’s about gaining deeper insights into market psychology. The psychology of all punters in a shareRead More

Stalking AMT

The AMT setup and analysis may present some interesting opportunities – to win or lose. I keep reminding others that the chances of losing are 60% or more. This is a game for losers who know how to limit their losses and run with their winners. Sue yourself if you trade this and lose.

COSTAR ANALYSIS

Costar presents some interesting possibilities as their earnings release approaches on 25th February 2015. (Clicking image below brings up a larger view – and not that this is a heavy-weight share which means there can be substantial losses if traded incorrectly. This is not an encouragement to trade. As we always say, sue yourself if you lose your money).  

A strategy: using Earnings Release dates

The following is one of many strategies that can be used to maximise the chances of making winning trades. As always strategies are tools, how they are used depends on individual judgement, after gaining the requisite knowledge, skill and experience (clicking diagrams – two below – opens larger views). See also NASDAQ Earnings Calendar. Results of the above strategy – when applied properly. Tough – I can’t teach how to apply a strategy and IRead More

The Hawaiian Holdings (HA) set up

This is analysis of Hawaiian Holdings (Airlines). Importantly the total collective psychology of investors is represented in the market at the snapshot. The stock is pretty strong in it’s growth. Industry gurus are mixed about whether it should be a buy or a sell, though forecasts are favourable in the longer term. That’s okay, if one is buying and selling shares. However, spreadbetters only want to: Identify an opportunity Predict where price may go in theRead More