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Is volatility your friend?

Every trader knows that volatility is the thing that is necessary in order for the price to have movement. But there are different kinds of price movements. Some instruments move in fairly neat directions up, then retrace and move up again. We all love these. There are some others that are ‘all over the place’. The chart below shows a volatile situation on 15 min time frame. Degrees of volatility seen, depend a lot onRead More

No courses, no horses.

Over the last few months there has been much reflective practice. This is about looking back at what one has done in the past, learning and re-learning from mistakes, and understanding how novices to financial trading approach it. A mistake is usually, in simple language, recognising a genuine error that has happened. Learning from a mistake means doing something differently to avoid it happening again or reducing likelihood of recurrence. Understanding how the uninitiated thinkRead More

Desensitisation, confidence and the crash

Following a winning run of trades a new trader is likely to think or feel, “I can do this!” This sort of feeling is like to come especially if they were big wins emerging from difficult trades that were not expected to win. We are human. There is that sense of victory over difficult circumstances – and a sense of improved performance or skill. However, many a new trader will have experienced a run ofRead More

Dreamers exploited

The more I look around the net on trading courses, the more I come to think that there is a big scam going on. Some of the supposed greatest traders out there are selling trainings and courses. They’re selling dreams for the most part. Look, I just don’t get it – if you’re making millions why would you wish to sell new traders whatever opportunity at £1799 reduced from £9977? Do you really need theRead More

The two most important things in trading

It takes some time for the two most important things in trading to hit home. It’s easy to understand the words, but the meaning and importance come later. Limiting loss with sensible stop-losses is of the utmost priority. With a 60 – 80% loss rate which is not unusual, that’s where any profits made on winning trades evaporate. So, it must be of the highest priority. Targets – sensible ones – are the next mostRead More

Confronting negativity

Negative things are often avoided by lots of people. Everybody likes a nice positive story. But it’s strange though, how bad news sells more than good news. Talk to the media houses. So at least people say to themselves and others that they don’t like negative stuff, but they’re all tanking up on it in secret. But what do I mean by ‘confronting negativity’? I’m talking more about self-defeating assumptions that lead to an overallRead More

What happened with Disney?

Disney was a learning lesson for me. I lost going long at the Earnings Release – limited of course by my stop-loss. This analysis is about learning lessons – and about a possible opportunity to go long again (subject as always to the SYP). In summary: 1. Disney being a strong performer had always jumped higher on a majority of Earnings Releases. 2. It was natural to go long again. 3. However, even as DisneyRead More

Using Trello for tracking and learning

Trello is an online information management system. Most ordinary people use Trello to manage to-do lists, manage projects and collaborate ideas. I’ve been using Trello in the last few weeks to track many opportunities, stalk a few, document my experience, and learn from mistakes or successes. Trello can easily upload images created in Tradingview or annotated screenshots created on my computer. The screenshot below shows my current Trello board configuration, for all the above. OfRead More

GBPMXN slaughter – power of the Relative Strength Index

The relative strength index (RSI) is an indicator used in what’s called ‘technical analysis’. As with most things you read it, you see it, you play with it, and you think you understand it. But for me  – as happened recently – the power of the concept suddenly came home in live trading. My eyes are now open to a new appreciation and understanding. This is not a tutorial on the RSI. This is notRead More

Getting the ‘fish’ ready for table

I’ve been thinking much more about strategy and planning. I’m appreciating even more how the fruits to be had from this approach. This hit home really well when on Friday 25th July 2015, I achieved a good profit on some trades, shown below. On reflection what I did very differently was to select Athenahealth carefully a few days in advance. Amazon is a distraction and a late entrant that came up suddenly – but thereRead More