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Disentangling currency pairs

Many a new trader will find listen to the news about which currency is doing well or badly. For example the news might say that the US Dollar strengthened, or something like that. Most of these news reports do not say how they know what they are reporting. Traders would normally be setting their brains against currency pairs e.g. USDJPY, or GBPUSD and so on. This is a ratio of one currency to the other.Read More

NZDCAD Long

I’ve been stalking NZDCAD for some time. It is a most interesting and challenging currency pair. In August I was stalking NZDCAD for a short. At that time there was a weekly zone of resistance. Now here at the end of November, the picture has changed. Sound traders shift their mindsets as new information emerges. I’m long on NZDCAD, having contracted to lose a controlled amount (alias stop-loss). This means that I do not know whatRead More

Revisiting the Williams Vix Fix

In May 2015 I had briefly visited the Williams Vix Fix (WVF) when I was ‘Rethinking indicators’. On and off since then I had explored various setups on the WVF. Like most things in trading the importance of some aspect doesn’t quite hit you until later on. In the last few weeks I had been backtesting the WVF and came up with some conclusions that it is a workable strategy for delivering overall profits. InRead More

GUPPY PERSPECTIVE ON EURUSD

The Guppy system of analysis is one of the most logical and transparent that I’ve come across. The perspective on EURUSD below, gives a picture of a trend breakout to the downside. Spikes in or through the slow EMAs (in red) have been rejected. See two snapshots below. The screenshot below speculates on what may happen. The SYP applies.What happened next a few hours later:

Stalking EURUSD and AUDNZD

The following two charts show some interesting areas of resistance. I’ve already shorted these pairs. This does not mean that anyone should do similar. Optimal entry positions are very time specific – ever swung at and missed a ball when playing tennis, or shuttlecock at badminton? It’s that sort of thing. EURUSD has no one correct trendline. Having broken from the trendline shown (which I think is reasonable) and shot above, price has come intoRead More

Stalking NZDUSD

This weekly chart below shows how I’m stalking the NZDUSD pair. I’ve set up alerts on Tradingview to tell me if/when price falls below 20 on the RSI. If that happens I’ll then make an assessment on whether I enter a trade. A lot of people out there have already gone long on this pair. A lot of people often get it wrong. I could see why they might go long – and they couldRead More