Tag: analysis


The Monsanto Snipe!

Results of the snipe are visible by clicking the thumbnail below. The assessment of this stock as a good snipe opportunity undertaken about a week earlier. I do not go into the whole process here. There were particular features of the personality of the Monsanto stock price chart, that led me to think it was a good hit. Not all the features are on the chart. The large chart is as it was on 23/03/2015.Read More

Support and Resistance

Support and resistance are absolutely important concepts for all traders. Supporting what – and resisting what  – are the questions that most new traders ask in their own minds. The easiest way to imagine ‘support’ is by reference to physical analogies. Forget about charts and trading for a moment. Have you ever needed a loan from friend or family? If not just imagine it. A loan is a form of support. You don’t want yourRead More

National Grid (snipe)–personality in stocks?

This is a snipe on the National Grid that is now in profit. In this particular stock (spread-betted on), I aim to show the ‘personality’ of the stock. Well of course a stock can’t have a personality as such. By personality I obviously mean the collective mindsets of those involved in the market on this stock. As in real life, the personalities of people often predict how they might react. We often hear people sayingRead More

Interest in Chevron

Chevron is at an interesting point in it’s history. Price has hit a reasonably strong band of support going back to 2013. (see update at end). Basic fundamentals on the stock look possibly favourable. I’m watching this one carefully. (Note that the ‘sue yourself principle’ applies if you trade this and lose.) Update: Profits on Chevron analysis speak for themselves. ‘Twas a good snipe for £514 profits.  

Possible snipe on ALTRIA GROUP

The Altria set up is looking very interesting indeed. I’ve entered long on this. [Note that the ‘sue yourself principle’ applies if you lose betting this]. 17/03/2015: Update. Based on my analysis of Kroger, I calculate that Atria is similar. Yes – I could be wrong. This is not about being right. Profitability is about being right only about 40% of the time and making the aggregate of 40% of those wins bigger than aggregateRead More

Spreadbetting compared to holding stocks and shares

Item Parameter Stocks & Shares Spreadbetting Notes 1.0 Value Has an initial money value because it is an asset No money value because it is not an asset. The idea of making money from something that has no actual value may seem strange. The money has value. But there is no sale of an asset. It’s similar but different to buying chips at a casino. 1.1 Future value Future value depends on market value HasRead More

Keryx post-trade analysis

The following is on Keryx (and I don’t know them or what they do). That’s not important in spreadbetting. Spotting patterns and trends that are meaningful and exploitable, is the important business. Keryx was showing signs of flattening in the few days approaching their earnings release (ER). Based on my strategy: Another Way and A strategy: Earnings Releases (now being modified), I decided to enter Keryx going long and I’m currently in profit, and haveRead More

Kroger Co Analysis

Kroger looks very interesting. It appears to be a low volatility stock, that’s moving upward slowly and steadily. Of course, whilst past patterns predict future patterns, no one (I know) can say what will happen. Kroger could well fall 2000pts. I don’t know. But the game is about much more than prediction. It is about acceptable loss in relation to probability of making a favourable move. One important feature of this stock is that itRead More