• Conversation with a failed trader

    Today I met a chap who is a failed trader. This was a rare opportunity. I had known him for about 3 months just fromRead More

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    Conversation with a failed trader
  • The loser’s game

    The news has been out from August 2018 that the European Securities and Management Agency (ESMA) has compelled all brokers (subject to its jurisdiction) toRead More

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    The loser’s game
  • Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?

    In the last few months we’ve received inquiries from several about Bitcoin and various similar things, often referred to as cryptocurrencies. In essence many ofRead More

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    Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?
  • Microtrends and risk aversion

    Many a trader will have looked at the same chart (say AUDUSD) at different times (let’s say 4 hours apart), and had doubts or anRead More

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    Microtrends and risk aversion
  • So did you get it right?

    Did you get it right? This is an important question for new and seasoned traders to think about – but there is a problem withRead More

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    So did you get it right?
  • New traders conned

    This morning I receive yet another email from somebody selling a system for beating the markets, subject to terms and conditions. It’s some software thatRead More

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    New traders conned
  • This is worth your next million

    Lots of new traders are looking for a magic solution to make money. They come into trading as a sort of flirtation – to seeRead More

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    This is worth your next million
  • Sterling causes excitement

    Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017.Read More

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    Sterling causes excitement
  • Mission Impossible – early notice.

    What if there was a way to take money out of the markets (legally of course) without  having to figure anything?! That must be theRead More

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    Mission Impossible – early notice.
  • Nerves of steel – like Formula 1 racing.

    Many new traders are unaware that they actually need nerves of steel. Some will argue that ‘nerves’ are not part of the equation – ifRead More

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    Nerves of steel  – like Formula 1 racing.
  • Dreamers exploited

    The more I look around the net on trading courses, the more I come to think that there is a big scam going on. SomeRead More

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    Dreamers exploited
  • Tools – not fools!

    The tools referred to here are ‘physical’ things – as against ‘psychological’. This is about some of the stuff that could be of use inRead More

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    Tools – not fools!

A resource for new and seasoned financial traders who are serious about developing their skills.

Learning about trends – smelling them

It’s often thrown around that ‘The trend is your friend’. I had heard or read these words several times in the last three years. I understood the words and the idea behind it. It is not a difficult thing to understand that the prices of instruments in markets move in trends. This is easy to see by watching a moving average (MA) or exponential moving average (EMA). But it is easy to spot a trendRead More

No courses, no horses.

Over the last few months there has been much reflective practice. This is about looking back at what one has done in the past, learning and re-learning from mistakes, and understanding how novices to financial trading approach it. A mistake is usually, in simple language, recognising a genuine error that has happened. Learning from a mistake means doing something differently to avoid it happening again or reducing likelihood of recurrence. Understanding how the uninitiated thinkRead More

Your first or next million?

This is worth your next million

Lots of new traders are looking for a magic solution to make money. They come into trading as a sort of flirtation – to see ‘if it works for them’. It doesn’t. There are no hard statistics on this but Charlie Burton estimates that about 80% of people who begin trading a live account will leave within 6 months. That’s about our estimate as well. There is no single method or trick to making moneyRead More

What is gambling?

Gambling is a bad word and a bad thing for most people. Strangely enough at September 2014, it was estimated that “70 per cent of UK adults, more than 32 million people, play the lottery on a regular basis.” This means that 70% of the UK population are gamblers. The percentage of people taking chances on the Lottery have varied from 32% to 70% in 20 years. Concepts So what is gambling? Some say investing in stocks is gambling. OthersRead More

On luck, chance and prediction

In several posts the issue of luck and chance were touched on. There is a need to explore this further, as many who know little about financial trading believe it’s largely about luck and chance. Introduction It is important that words like luck and chance are defined here. Luck as a concept is outlined in the infographic below. A chance is a probability that is known or foreseeable. We separate luck and chance, though in many circlesRead More

Sniper attack on Brent Crude

It’s been a busy week for some traders. The following is a perfect kill with two shots to the ‘head’. The sceptical will argue that this is luck. But the topic of luck and chance will be explored further in another post coming soon. What is not shown in the 4H chart is the daily situation with Oil. See below, where snipers were watching carefully a powerful zone of horizontal resistance on the daily charts. UsingRead More

Sterling causes excitement

Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017. This caused the fainthearted to dump GBP for about 15 – 30 minutes. Snipers knew this was just a short high breeze. Then GBP rose like a phoenix for the next few hours. The first screenshot shows that if you were positioned to catch the activity, you could have gainedRead More

Turning the corner – what people don’t get and why

Well, well… what’s this all about now. I’m afraid you’ll have to read on. And if your dog needs a bath (and I don’t know if you who reads this has a dog and I couldn’t care less), then go bathe the dog! If you have time, look below at results of a true change in performance following a change of strategy.   Some time ago Newtrader.club said to all new traders that change takesRead More

Mind the gap

Gaps are traditionally taken by new traders and some gurus, to mean that price will continue on balance, in the direction of the gap. In financial trading that is only true some of the time. Even if it is true, say 55% of the time, what does it mean for new traders? Nothing! Why? Because the only issue in profitability is how a new trader controls their acceptable loss (aka stop loss). The chart ofRead More

FAQ on derivatives

Big disclaimer: The information provided herein is opinion only. Under no circumstances do any statements here represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence. No investment advice, is provided nor are any claims or promises made that any information here will lead to a profit, loss, or any other result. All expressions are for educational purposes only. What is a derivative?Read More