• Conversation with a failed trader

    Today I met a chap who is a failed trader. This was a rare opportunity. I had known him for about 3 months just fromRead More

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    Conversation with a failed trader
  • The loser’s game

    The news has been out from August 2018 that the European Securities and Management Agency (ESMA) has compelled all brokers (subject to its jurisdiction) toRead More

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    The loser’s game
  • Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?

    In the last few months we’ve received inquiries from several about Bitcoin and various similar things, often referred to as cryptocurrencies. In essence many ofRead More

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    Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?
  • Microtrends and risk aversion

    Many a trader will have looked at the same chart (say AUDUSD) at different times (let’s say 4 hours apart), and had doubts or anRead More

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    Microtrends and risk aversion
  • So did you get it right?

    Did you get it right? This is an important question for new and seasoned traders to think about – but there is a problem withRead More

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    So did you get it right?
  • New traders conned

    This morning I receive yet another email from somebody selling a system for beating the markets, subject to terms and conditions. It’s some software thatRead More

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    New traders conned
  • This is worth your next million

    Lots of new traders are looking for a magic solution to make money. They come into trading as a sort of flirtation – to seeRead More

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    This is worth your next million
  • Sterling causes excitement

    Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017.Read More

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    Sterling causes excitement
  • Mission Impossible – early notice.

    What if there was a way to take money out of the markets (legally of course) without  having to figure anything?! That must be theRead More

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    Mission Impossible – early notice.
  • Nerves of steel – like Formula 1 racing.

    Many new traders are unaware that they actually need nerves of steel. Some will argue that ‘nerves’ are not part of the equation – ifRead More

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    Nerves of steel  – like Formula 1 racing.
  • Dreamers exploited

    The more I look around the net on trading courses, the more I come to think that there is a big scam going on. SomeRead More

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    Dreamers exploited
  • Tools – not fools!

    The tools referred to here are ‘physical’ things – as against ‘psychological’. This is about some of the stuff that could be of use inRead More

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    Tools – not fools!

A resource for new and seasoned financial traders who are serious about developing their skills.

The nature of expectation in financial trading

On several occasions I’ve referred to ‘expectation‘ as against ‘prediction‘. I can expect a delivery of a package at my home this morning (for example) but that does not mean I know it is going to arrive for certain ‘this morning’ or that I predict that it will. ‘Expectation’ means a reasoned position/opinion based in information I might have or inferences I may make based on a range of things. How is expectation important inRead More

Stalking the microstructure of chaos

On occasions a trader may need to turn up the microscope and look deeply into the chaos. For what? A micro-fracture, a microtrend or a small bubble movement that is like the flap of a butterfly’s wings – from which evolves a hurricane. This is the nature of chaos. The chart below shows a small rising wedge down to the 5 min time frame. ‘We’ don’t know what will happen next. Rising wedges on anyRead More

Microtrends and risk aversion

Many a trader will have looked at the same chart (say AUDUSD) at different times (let’s say 4 hours apart), and had doubts or an urge to change their minds on what to do. This situation occurred recently with BTCUSD. On one day it appeared that there was as strong microtrend on a 2H time frame pushing against the big bearish daily trend. Then on the next day it appeared that the 2H trend mightRead More

So did you get it right?

Did you get it right? This is an important question for new and seasoned traders to think about – but there is a problem with it. So you made your best risk assessment, decided your entry point and stop-loss and you entered the trade. What happens next? Many a new trader would spend some time looking at price movement shortly after. There’s a ‘Yes!!‘ sort of feeling if early on price moves into positive equityRead More

Better than a million minds

Are you better than a million minds? The chart below shows the recent extreme volatility on Wall Street. Millions of minds are into this ‘game’ of stocks/shares. They all want one important thing: profit on their positions. We don’t know these people (obviously); how can we. Yes – their interests may be represented by brokers in the stock markets. Some of these folk are institutional investors – these are the ‘big boys’ with big financialRead More

New traders conned

This morning I receive yet another email from somebody selling a system for beating the markets, subject to terms and conditions. It’s some software that runs on their server, that gives off signals when to enter long or short. Cost? USD $x9x down from $xx9x – and one is offered some ‘ultra’ indicator as free. Links to the advert are tracked, so that ‘they’ can monitor who clicks what in their emails. The adverts usuallyRead More

The limitations of rules in trading

Why there are no rules

Many new traders are brainwashed by various experts out there into believing that there are certain rules in trading. For example some say, “Never margin to more than 10% of your account size.” Others go, “Ignore the RSI totally.” Traders can sometimes become confused about what they refer to as ‘rules’. Rules may be self imposed boundaries as part of a personal strategy or method. However, some traders take these to mean that their rulesRead More

A brief exploration of how patience can affect trading

Patience in trading

What is patience? According the Cambridge English Dictionary, it means: “the ability to wait, or to continue doing something despite difficulties, or to suffer without complaining or becoming annoyed.” Patience is of course a psychological characteristic. It certainly isn’t something physical. The opposite of patience is of course impatience. Why is patience important? As a new trader you may have started off trading on lower time frames such as 5 min or 15 min, limitedRead More

Coping with volatility – the value of experience

This post continues from ‘Is volatility your friend?‘ The emphasis here is on copying with volatility. ‘Coping’ is a psychological thing. New traders will have emotions and it is no good denying this or avoiding it. The screencast below brings out what tends to happen with new traders when price moves in the ‘opposite’ direction (full screen view is best). There is no magic formula or advice on how to cope with volatility. This is whereRead More

Is volatility your friend?

Every trader knows that volatility is the thing that is necessary in order for the price to have movement. But there are different kinds of price movements. Some instruments move in fairly neat directions up, then retrace and move up again. We all love these. There are some others that are ‘all over the place’. The chart below shows a volatile situation on 15 min time frame. Degrees of volatility seen, depend a lot onRead More