Category: Strategy

 

Interesting situation with ULTA

ULTA is a powerful stock – very similar to Disney. ULTA has been disrespecting Wall Street for some time and even recently. [Missed opportunity for a snipe in second pic below – learning from this. The first annotation shows that a snipe was possible. The difficulty was locating the opportunity. The second pic shows how it could have been done.] However, the bullishness on the stock could be coming to an end. The analysis belowRead More

What happened with Disney?

Disney was a learning lesson for me. I lost going long at the Earnings Release – limited of course by my stop-loss. This analysis is about learning lessons – and about a possible opportunity to go long again (subject as always to the SYP). In summary: 1. Disney being a strong performer had always jumped higher on a majority of Earnings Releases. 2. It was natural to go long again. 3. However, even as DisneyRead More

Earnings Release strategy update

This is the latest ER strategy update. As mentioned previously (here and here), I’m honing this as I discover more. The main modifications in this release are: That the Relative Strength Index should be carefully assessed. The FOA system – Find, Observe, Assess – makes it more structured. Of course there is never as clear a compartmentalisation of these when you’re working a live instrument. Numbers added in various parts, reference where I am inRead More

GBPMXN slaughter – power of the Relative Strength Index

The relative strength index (RSI) is an indicator used in what’s called ‘technical analysis’. As with most things you read it, you see it, you play with it, and you think you understand it. But for me  – as happened recently – the power of the concept suddenly came home in live trading. My eyes are now open to a new appreciation and understanding. This is not a tutorial on the RSI. This is notRead More

Possible snipe on Expedia

The annotated chart (clickable to enlarge) below gives the analysis. This is note meant as a tip. The SYP applies if you lose your money. Update: Successful snipe – results are on the last image below.         

Stalking Skyworks Solutions Inc

Skyworks is a uniquely strong equity. Overall the indications are that there is probably going to be a bounce up on the Earnings Release on 23rd July 2015. This is not a trading tip. If you play this and lose real money, you do as we always say – ‘Sue yourself’.  

Lennox sniped

The following chart shows a snipe that was being prepared for in the background. The trade is now concluded with a profit of £888 on a £1 bet. Many thanks to one of our new traders for spotting this set up, in advance. The opportunity came quickly so didn’t blog it before hand. The algorithm used is at:  updated strategy.

GUPPY PERSPECTIVE ON AUDNZD

The perspective on AUDNZD below, gives a picture of a trend breakout to the upside on daily chart. Spikes in or through the slow EMAs (in red) have been rejected. The screenshot below speculates on what may happen. The SYP applies.

GUPPY PERSPECTIVE ON EURUSD

The Guppy system of analysis is one of the most logical and transparent that I’ve come across. The perspective on EURUSD below, gives a picture of a trend breakout to the downside. Spikes in or through the slow EMAs (in red) have been rejected. See two snapshots below. The screenshot below speculates on what may happen. The SYP applies.What happened next a few hours later:

GUPPY PERSPECTIVE ON COSTCO

The Guppy system of analysis is one of the most logical and transparent that I’ve come across. The perspective on COSTCO below, gives a picture of a trend breakout to the downside, with a recent spike on the daily chart. The screenshot below speculates on what may happen.