Category: Strategy

 

Protected: What happened next with USDCAD

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USDCAD Daily in the kill zone

Good snipers wait in the bush – they watch their prey very carefully. They take their shot when conditions are right. Every sniper knows that s/he may miss their target. DISCLAIMER: The information provided herein is opinion only. Under no circumstances do any statements here represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence. To summarise, we do not provide investment advice,Read More

NZDCAD Long

I’ve been stalking NZDCAD for some time. It is a most interesting and challenging currency pair. In August I was stalking NZDCAD for a short. At that time there was a weekly zone of resistance. Now here at the end of November, the picture has changed. Sound traders shift their mindsets as new information emerges. I’m long on NZDCAD, having contracted to lose a controlled amount (alias stop-loss). This means that I do not know whatRead More

Blood bath on Wall Street?

For those who have been watching the US30 or the SPY or the DJI, there is some crazy stuff going on. The on the night of the Trump victory, the bears mauled the bulls – as you can see on chart below. The bulls rebelled within hours. The market rallied to a new high. But all is not well for the bulls. This could turn out to be a blood bath! I’m not predicting anything.Read More

Traps and perspectives

Perspective is everything if you’re a day trader. You may know you’re in a winning situation from what’s happening on the charts. But what lies lurking for you? How can you spot the traps? It’s simple but not easy: change your perspective. The following composite graphic shows how a failure to change perspective could have hurt. [Click on image and then zoom in for a clearer view] DISCLAIMER: The information provided herein is opinion only.Read More

AUDUSD – bearish

AUDUSD is at this time at a potentially critical point. The charts will need much further study. This is not a recommendation to take a position. DISCLAIMER: The information provided herein is opinion only. Under no circumstances do any statements here represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities or make any kind of investment. You are responsible for your own due diligence. To summarise, we do not provide investment advice, nor do we makeRead More

Complex trends

For some time I’ve been looking at trend lines. It has been noticeable that not all trends are simple. Complex trends may have minor trends within them as in the example below. Why is this important? It’s about how or when you enter a trend. Trend lines are fascinating when you watch them over a long period of time. We can’t really explain them Their power needs to be respected.

Stalking GBPJPY and AUDUSD.

The chart with annotations below shows some interesting possibilities. Price may or may not reach the striking zone in the charts below. They don’t mind if the prey escapes and moves on for a while; they’ll catch um another time!!  Good snipers wait in the ‘bush’, stalking their prey for a high probability ‘kill’ conditions. Snipers know that there is a chance that they can miss, that’s why they wait on optimal conditions. How itRead More

Profiting from greed

It is possible to profit from greed as much as it is from panic. The following chart was not a prediction. It was an expectation and it materialised.

Deceptiveness of the RSI

The RSI (relative strength index) is classified as a ‘leading indicator’ because it is thought to have predictive value. By contrast lagging indicators are said to simply follow price and have less predictive value e.g. bollinger bands. The reality is that no indicator can predict anything and all indicators have limited predictive value because they all rely on historical price movements. Notions of predictive value are formed after events have happened, and are subject toRead More