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Bitcoin: Investor, trader, gambler or idiot?

In the last few months we’ve received inquiries from several about Bitcoin and various similar things, often referred to as cryptocurrencies. In essence many of these folk are the ones who missed out on making millions by not buying a few Bitcoin when it was dirt cheap. Now, they don’t want to make the same mistake so are looking around for a second chance. You can’t blame them of course – if the missed opportunityRead More

Is Parabolic Mayhem ahead?

On Tradingview I’ve put up a Vlog about this which is embedded below. I say what I see. I’m focusing on the form of movements of the US30 compared with the correction on the parabolic Bitcoin. The evidence is there, which I think everybody can see. Just to be clear nothing in this post is a prediction or recommendation. See our SYP disclaimer. The following vlog is downloadable or viewable in larger format on Tradingview.Read More

Disentangling currency pairs

Many a new trader will find listen to the news about which currency is doing well or badly. For example the news might say that the US Dollar strengthened, or something like that. Most of these news reports do not say how they know what they are reporting. Traders would normally be setting their brains against currency pairs e.g. USDJPY, or GBPUSD and so on. This is a ratio of one currency to the other.Read More

Better than a million minds

Are you better than a million minds? The chart below shows the recent extreme volatility on Wall Street. Millions of minds are into this ‘game’ of stocks/shares. They all want one important thing: profit on their positions. We don’t know these people (obviously); how can we. Yes – their interests may be represented by brokers in the stock markets. Some of these folk are institutional investors – these are the ‘big boys’ with big financialRead More

Is volatility your friend?

Every trader knows that volatility is the thing that is necessary in order for the price to have movement. But there are different kinds of price movements. Some instruments move in fairly neat directions up, then retrace and move up again. We all love these. There are some others that are ‘all over the place’. The chart below shows a volatile situation on 15 min time frame. Degrees of volatility seen, depend a lot onRead More

On luck, chance and prediction

In several posts the issue of luck and chance were touched on. There is a need to explore this further, as many who know little about financial trading believe it’s largely about luck and chance. Introduction It is important that words like luck and chance are defined here. Luck as a concept is outlined in the infographic below. A chance is a probability that is known or foreseeable. We separate luck and chance, though in many circlesRead More

Sniper attack on Brent Crude

It’s been a busy week for some traders. The following is a perfect kill with two shots to the ‘head’. The sceptical will argue that this is luck. But the topic of luck and chance will be explored further in another post coming soon. What is not shown in the 4H chart is the daily situation with Oil. See below, where snipers were watching carefully a powerful zone of horizontal resistance on the daily charts. UsingRead More

Sterling causes excitement

Those who were watching Pound Sterling, would have seen some excitement recently. The Prime Minister, Theresa May, called a snap election on 8th June 2017. This caused the fainthearted to dump GBP for about 15 – 30 minutes. Snipers knew this was just a short high breeze. Then GBP rose like a phoenix for the next few hours. The first screenshot shows that if you were positioned to catch the activity, you could have gainedRead More

Mind the gap

Gaps are traditionally taken by new traders and some gurus, to mean that price will continue on balance, in the direction of the gap. In financial trading that is only true some of the time. Even if it is true, say 55% of the time, what does it mean for new traders? Nothing! Why? Because the only issue in profitability is how a new trader controls their acceptable loss (aka stop loss). The chart ofRead More

Protected: What happened next with USDCAD

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.