Category: Educational

 

Complex trends

For some time I’ve been looking at trend lines. It has been noticeable that not all trends are simple. Complex trends may have minor trends within them as in the example below. Why is this important? It’s about how or when you enter a trend. Trend lines are fascinating when you watch them over a long period of time. We can’t really explain them Their power needs to be respected.

Profiting from greed

It is possible to profit from greed as much as it is from panic. The following chart was not a prediction. It was an expectation and it materialised.

Assessing trend strength

It’s usually possible to easily spot the direction of a trend by looking at a chart – that’s the easy part of trading. What’s not as easy is to work out how strong the trend is. By ‘strong’ I mean, if you’re putting your money on the trend going in the preferred direction, you would wish to have some idea of how powerful or reliable is the push. See below a clear trend down onRead More

Get the trend in perspective

Perspective is everything! The following charts show different perspectives of NZDCAD. The moral of this story here is, not to maintain a narrow focus. This will require some deep thought. Perspectives change when you change your perspective. 

Looking again at Earnings Releases

This recent bounce on DEERE & CO has got me looking again at Earnings Releases.   For those who would play ER’s a Guaranteed stop maybe advisable (cost of this need to be factored into the equation) or Reward to Risk ratios. Alternatively no guaranteed stops may be taken but risk of significant slippage would need to be assessed.

Stalking NZDCAD

NZDCAD is showing an interesting setup at the moment. My analysis below suggests it worthy of a short anytime soon. NZDCAD ripe for a short by Captain_Walker on TradingView.com

Value in waiting and CSW

In recent weeks I’ve been thinking about whether it makes sense to wait on a pull back on an uptrend to enter long. Some conflicting thoughts came to mind: Waiting means I could miss the ‘boat’. But importantly I lose nothing. Thinking about this more deeply, I think losing nothing is far more important. There may be a sense of loss in missing the boat but actually I’ve lost nothing in missing the boat. NoRead More

The power of time momentum

I’ve now coined the term ‘stealth trading’ to mean trend following. All this is perfectly legal!! The chart below shows generosity to the markets. No longer are we fighting with the markets. We’re being kind in order to get our due returns. This is entirely different to a snatch-and-grab approach. See original assessment here at Tradingview. This is a follow up to EURUSD Analysis on 13th May 2016. (Snapshot reinserted here for ease of reference.)

Stealth trading

I’ve now coined the term ‘stealth trading’ to mean trend following. All this is perfectly legal!! The chart below shows generosity to the markets. No longer are we fighting with the markets. We’re being kind in order to get our due returns. This is entirely different to a snatch-and-grab approach. See original assessment here at Tradingview. This is a follow up to EURUSD Analysis on 13th May 2016. (Snapshot reinserted here for ease of reference.)

Caught a big fish

The infographic below shows a big fish on the hook. Well, big fish are probably harder to reel in but they’ll supply more protein – innit?!! They’ll compensate for most of the losses on small fish thrown back or lost. Yes, my line may be snapped – no problem – cuz I know there are other big fish in the sea. DISCLAIMER: The information provided herein is opinion only. Under no circumstances do any statementsRead More