Year: 2016

 

Get the trend in perspective

Perspective is everything! The following charts show different perspectives of NZDCAD. The moral of this story here is, not to maintain a narrow focus. This will require some deep thought. Perspectives change when you change your perspective. 

Looking again at Earnings Releases

This recent bounce on DEERE & CO has got me looking again at Earnings Releases.   For those who would play ER’s a Guaranteed stop maybe advisable (cost of this need to be factored into the equation) or Reward to Risk ratios. Alternatively no guaranteed stops may be taken but risk of significant slippage would need to be assessed.

Stalking NZDCAD

NZDCAD is showing an interesting setup at the moment. My analysis below suggests it worthy of a short anytime soon. NZDCAD ripe for a short by Captain_Walker on TradingView.com

Value in waiting and CSW

In recent weeks I’ve been thinking about whether it makes sense to wait on a pull back on an uptrend to enter long. Some conflicting thoughts came to mind: Waiting means I could miss the ‘boat’. But importantly I lose nothing. Thinking about this more deeply, I think losing nothing is far more important. There may be a sense of loss in missing the boat but actually I’ve lost nothing in missing the boat. NoRead More

Comparing instruments

We normally trade currency pairs such as GBPEUR, NZDUSD, USDJPY and EURUSD (among others). How do you tell which one of the pair is doing what? It’s not easy to determine because the currency pairs form a ratio. In NZDUSD, you can’t really tell if the USD is weakening or strengthening because the movement of price also depends on NZD. The following is not perfect – it’s what I do. I would compare NZDUSD toRead More

In a good and difficult week

Only occasionally I share results of my trades. This week has been an important success in the lead up to the BREXIT referendum. The markets have been wild, to say the least. But in trading we like ‘wild’. I’ve used the ‘stealth trading system’ – and this last week was a pretty good test, playing 30min to 1H time frames. The wildest ride I ever had was with GBPCAD today 17th June 2016. See below. I kept myRead More

The power of time momentum

I’ve now coined the term ‘stealth trading’ to mean trend following. All this is perfectly legal!! The chart below shows generosity to the markets. No longer are we fighting with the markets. We’re being kind in order to get our due returns. This is entirely different to a snatch-and-grab approach. See original assessment here at Tradingview. This is a follow up to EURUSD Analysis on 13th May 2016. (Snapshot reinserted here for ease of reference.)

Stealth trading

I’ve now coined the term ‘stealth trading’ to mean trend following. All this is perfectly legal!! The chart below shows generosity to the markets. No longer are we fighting with the markets. We’re being kind in order to get our due returns. This is entirely different to a snatch-and-grab approach. See original assessment here at Tradingview. This is a follow up to EURUSD Analysis on 13th May 2016. (Snapshot reinserted here for ease of reference.)

Caught a big fish

The infographic below shows a big fish on the hook. Well, big fish are probably harder to reel in but they’ll supply more protein – innit?!! They’ll compensate for most of the losses on small fish thrown back or lost. Yes, my line may be snapped – no problem – cuz I know there are other big fish in the sea. DISCLAIMER: The information provided herein is opinion only. Under no circumstances do any statementsRead More

Is common sense allowed in trading?

The answer to this question is ‘no’ – if you’ve been trained in some system of rules, which you’re meant to follow rigidly.  The beauty of trend-following methods, is that it allows for a degree of common sense.  Indicators are there to help paint a picture. Trend followers are not chained by indicators or rules. There are some traders who cannot trade well without a set of rigid rules. It is not the purpose ofRead More