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August, 2015

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Desirable core psychological characteristics for traders

The following is my reflection on the characteristics of successful traders. I do not go into long explanations on each of these. Some of these overlap each other: Toughness and resilience – taking the hard knocks, not being crushed by failure, rising again, facing reality. Determination – a refusal to accept defeat. Probably a double edged sword as it could lead to even more catastrophic failures by the most determined who just have not understoodRead More

Fractals – another arrow for your bow.

Fractal indicators are interesting and add to your tool box. When and how they’re used is entirely up to each individual trader. This post is not to say that ‘they’re good or the best’ or anything like that. When you study your ‘prey’ you may decide that you need certain types of ammunition and equipment for the ‘kill’. You are the boss of you, so you decide what you’ll use and how you’ll use yourRead More

How are stock prices actually set?

We may take it for granted that it’s all about ‘demand and supply’ which determines stock prices. Then I asked myself a few more questions like, “How does that actually work?” – I realised that I didn’t really know. I mean, who sets the price? How is it set? Does the organisation which the share represents set the price? These are natural questions to ask or think about. If it’s the stockmarket that sets priceRead More

Interesting situation with ULTA

ULTA is a powerful stock – very similar to Disney. ULTA has been disrespecting Wall Street for some time and even recently. [Missed opportunity for a snipe in second pic below – learning from this. The first annotation shows that a snipe was possible. The difficulty was locating the opportunity. The second pic shows how it could have been done.] However, the bullishness on the stock could be coming to an end. The analysis belowRead More

What happened with Disney?

Disney was a learning lesson for me. I lost going long at the Earnings Release – limited of course by my stop-loss. This analysis is about learning lessons – and about a possible opportunity to go long again (subject as always to the SYP). In summary: 1. Disney being a strong performer had always jumped higher on a majority of Earnings Releases. 2. It was natural to go long again. 3. However, even as DisneyRead More

My personal mantra

The following is my personal mantra. It lives on my desktop. It is updated on my desktop as necessary. Others may modify to suit their individual needs, as this is not prescriptive. READ AND REPEAT THIS A FEW TIMES PER WEEK. Whilst all of the following may seem very simple and logical, they represent all of the lessons you have learnt and forgotten. You must read all of the following every day before trading or beforeRead More

Earnings Release strategy update

This is the latest ER strategy update. As mentioned previously (here and here), I’m honing this as I discover more. The main modifications in this release are: That the Relative Strength Index should be carefully assessed. The FOA system – Find, Observe, Assess – makes it more structured. Of course there is never as clear a compartmentalisation of these when you’re working a live instrument. Numbers added in various parts, reference where I am inRead More

Using Trello for tracking and learning

Trello is an online information management system. Most ordinary people use Trello to manage to-do lists, manage projects and collaborate ideas. I’ve been using Trello in the last few weeks to track many opportunities, stalk a few, document my experience, and learn from mistakes or successes. Trello can easily upload images created in Tradingview or annotated screenshots created on my computer. The screenshot below shows my current Trello board configuration, for all the above. OfRead More

GBPMXN slaughter – power of the Relative Strength Index

The relative strength index (RSI) is an indicator used in what’s called ‘technical analysis’. As with most things you read it, you see it, you play with it, and you think you understand it. But for me  – as happened recently – the power of the concept suddenly came home in live trading. My eyes are now open to a new appreciation and understanding. This is not a tutorial on the RSI. This is notRead More

Possible snipe on Expedia

The annotated chart (clickable to enlarge) below gives the analysis. This is note meant as a tip. The SYP applies if you lose your money. Update: Successful snipe – results are on the last image below.