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March, 2015

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Support and Resistance

Support and resistance are absolutely important concepts for all traders. Supporting what – and resisting what  – are the questions that most new traders ask in their own minds. The easiest way to imagine ‘support’ is by reference to physical analogies. Forget about charts and trading for a moment. Have you ever needed a loan from friend or family? If not just imagine it. A loan is a form of support. You don’t want yourRead More

National Grid (snipe)–personality in stocks?

This is a snipe on the National Grid that is now in profit. In this particular stock (spread-betted on), I aim to show the ‘personality’ of the stock. Well of course a stock can’t have a personality as such. By personality I obviously mean the collective mindsets of those involved in the market on this stock. As in real life, the personalities of people often predict how they might react. We often hear people sayingRead More

Interest in Chevron

Chevron is at an interesting point in it’s history. Price has hit a reasonably strong band of support going back to 2013. (see update at end). Basic fundamentals on the stock look possibly favourable. I’m watching this one carefully. (Note that the ‘sue yourself principle’ applies if you trade this and lose.) Update: Profits on Chevron analysis speak for themselves. ‘Twas a good snipe for £514 profits.  

Basics of the Forex Markets

The Forex (foreign exchange) markets are the biggest and most liquid in the world. Every day about 4 Trillion US dollars (USD) are turned over on that market. Compare that with 50 Billion/d on the New York Stock Exchange and the GDP of the UK/yr being 2.9 Trillion USD. A UK Trillion is 1000 Billions. For some other figures (which may vary) see here. Average daily volume of trading on Forex has been increasing byRead More

Possible snipe on ALTRIA GROUP

The Altria set up is looking very interesting indeed. I’ve entered long on this. [Note that the ‘sue yourself principle’ applies if you lose betting this]. 17/03/2015: Update. Based on my analysis of Kroger, I calculate that Atria is similar. Yes – I could be wrong. This is not about being right. Profitability is about being right only about 40% of the time and making the aggregate of 40% of those wins bigger than aggregateRead More

Spreadbetting compared to holding stocks and shares

Item Parameter Stocks & Shares Spreadbetting Notes 1.0 Value Has an initial money value because it is an asset No money value because it is not an asset. The idea of making money from something that has no actual value may seem strange. The money has value. But there is no sale of an asset. It’s similar but different to buying chips at a casino. 1.1 Future value Future value depends on market value HasRead More

USDZAR – Danger!

I’ve hardly ever won at this currency pair on Forex. But that does not deter me. I’m looking at it again and have shorted it recently at the peak with a very wide stop-loss above. There are some interesting patterns in the chart which means to me that the probability is favourable. Trading currency pairs is different in most cases to trading stocks. I’ve found that the same principles apply but not to the sameRead More